CryptoPainter

CryptoPainter

老朋友叫我“画师”,技术\数据分析和量化交易,提供各种刁钻角度看市场,用时间做杠杆。 实盘为Agent账户,正在测试的一个自进化策略系统,请勿跟单!

32Following
3.4Kfollowers

Feed

CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
From my recent real experience, this trend is also clearly noticeable. After all, as a consumer who burns a large number of Tokens every day, I'm not stupid... Now my Vibe Coding process has become: I only use top-tier models for complete architecture and acceptance, then let them design all the details of the entire development phase, and then hand over a large amount of coding work to domestic large models... I just need to add a sentence: "Please clearly leave all development details and code requirements in the development plan, and ensure that any ordinary programmer can understand the task goals and details. Later, I will have other Coding Agents complete these small tasks..." Honestly, the final implementation effect is no different... Fable 5, Opus 5, and GPT-Sol can all do planning and acceptance, but there are really too many alternative options for the coding phase... To some extent, Chinese and American large models have again formed a division of labor similar to international trade, with the US holding the latest technology and brands, and China undertaking a large amount of product manufacturing. In the AI market, top US large models are still an indispensable part, but as long as the problem or task is slightly less complex, it can be handed over to models with a much higher cost-performance ratio than the former. Sounds like a good division of labor, right? But the problem is, the current high valuation of US AI stocks and even the entire market is not based on this division of labor logic. The multi-trillion valuation itself is based on the premise that "enterprises and consumers worldwide will and only will use US large models..." As an ordinary consumer who has reached level three in the Gemini API paid tier, I will only vote with my feet, and I believe most people will do the same...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
Not sure if this counts as a historic moment? Just yesterday, the top spot in the market share rankings for large models on OpenRouter changed hands! After Google held the number one position steadily for several months, on August 3rd, DeepSeek took the top market share for the first time... The yellow area in the chart represents DS's market share of requests over the past year. You can clearly see that as its market share increased, the area that shrank noticeably was the blue area at the bottom, which is Google's market share... As of now, among the top 5 large models by market share on OpenRouter, two are Chinese models (DeepSeek and Qwen)... If you can see this trend, you might sense a hint of bloodshed... The industrial revolution that the U.S. bet its national destiny on is quietly being snatched away by China... The next step is obvious: this trend will inevitably face increasing interference at the national and political levels. From the U.S. government's perspective, this signal is no less than an act of aggression... But this time, the side being invaded is the U.S...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
Not sure if this counts as a historic moment? Just yesterday, the top spot in the market share rankings for large models on OpenRouter changed hands! After Google held the number one position steadily for several months, on August 3rd, DeepSeek took the top market share for the first time... The yellow area in the chart represents DS's market share of requests over the past year. You can clearly see that as its market share increased, the area that shrank noticeably was the blue area at the bottom, which is Google's market share... As of now, among the top 5 large models by market share on OpenRouter, two are Chinese models (DeepSeek and Qwen)... If you can see this trend, you might sense a hint of bloodshed... The industrial revolution that the U.S. bet its national destiny on is quietly being snatched away by China... The next step is obvious: this trend will inevitably face increasing interference at the national and political levels. From the U.S. government's perspective, this signal is no less than an act of aggression... But this time, the side being invaded is the U.S...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
I finally understand why more and more companies are choosing Chinese large models now… Recently, I developed a small AI application that supports calling multimodal models. After a week of development and testing, I checked the bill today. The total cost for Qwen was 17.66 RMB, while Google charged 38 USD, which is 258 RMB… The key is that the two multimodal speech models perform almost identically, with Qwen even being slightly better… Yet the price difference is so huge. This is not just about being cheaper; it’s a fundamental commercial crushing advantage… Keep in mind, Qwen is not even among the top-tier domestic large models. Don’t you think these American large model companies really feel the pressure? Anthropic and OpenAI’s revenue growth will inevitably drop sharply in the coming years… Otherwise, they wouldn’t be rushing to cut prices now…
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
In the past 30 years, the curve of the US debt-to-GDP ratio turning downward often signals an impending crisis... Currently, this ratio is 5.1%, much higher than at any time in history, and coincidentally, the curve has recently shown signs of flattening at the end... Optimistically, this chart suggests that the new technological revolution has raised the upper threshold for triggering a collapse; Pessimistically, the probability of a financial collapse happening is much higher than at any time in the past 5 years...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
Hello! @grok Please help me calculate the total amount of debt added in the U.S. after the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 0 in 2020, as well as the current maturity distribution of these debts.
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
Did you know? The total number of heartbeats in the lifetime of most animals is around 1 billion... Those with faster heartbeats have shorter lifespans, and those with slower heartbeats live longer... But the most amazing thing is that the total number of heartbeats is just about 1 billion for all... This really isn’t a joke; I didn’t believe it at first either... Later, I checked and there really is such statistical data...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
Glanced at Twitter, it's all Gate ads... Too late... bro... What took you so long...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
What does professional mean? This is what professional means! I just don't understand, Gate, why don't you just compensate the people first to calm the public opinion? You can open the box for them, and after the police finish their investigation, either admit the loss and apologize, or directly sue for fraud, isn't that possible? After all this time, you’re playing legal games. The police can't find the hacker, so the user can only wait forever or sue Gate, both ways are time-consuming and exhausting... Until they get worn out, and then no one cares about this matter anymore... What a clever calculation!
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
Echo is now very skilled at walking the kid; besides maintaining a steady pace while pulling the stroller, he also adjusts the direction... In the past, when walking the dog, parents with kids would look at us with body language that said, "Please keep your dog away!" Now I walk the dog pulling the stroller every day, and the kid sleeps comfortably... Now when I meet people walking their kids, they actually come over to let the children play with the dog... I truly believe every child should grow up in an environment with animals!
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
After having a child, because I personally take care of the baby, I've recently noticed a clear lack of motivation to do anything... I looked it up, and the more a man takes care of his child, the more severe the drop in testosterone. If even libido disappears, then it's a complete loss... Low testosterone leads to reduced risk appetite, which in the market means being afraid to buy anything and not daring to use any leverage... My son was born in February, arriving with the bear market, and I thank him for that...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
After having a child, because I personally take care of the baby, I've recently noticed a clear lack of motivation to do anything... I looked it up, and the more a man takes care of his child, the more severe the drop in testosterone. If even libido disappears, then it's a complete loss... Low testosterone leads to reduced risk appetite, which in the market means being afraid to buy anything and not daring to use any leverage... My son was born in February, arriving with the bear market, and I thank him for that...
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
$SPCX The underlying logic of building space data centers is that the local policy costs and water and electricity costs of building data centers in the United States are too high… Why did no one ask back then: "Can't data centers be built in other countries? Do they have to be built in space?"
CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
The kind of financial freedom I lean towards is: Having risk-free passive income that can cover daily "food, clothing, housing, transportation, and expenses," and then being able to say "NO!" to all the stupid things encountered in life. That is freedom... The former is quite achievable—either increase passive income or reduce desire-driven spending. It's actually the latter that is the hardest to achieve... It's very difficult to do without a certain level of capability...
0xWizard
0xWizard
Having a place to live, having food to eat, and not lacking money to do what you want—that is financial freedom. There is no fixed amount; all numbers are self-imposed cages of imagination. Whether you are free does not depend on what you still need to get, but on what you want to get.