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Just finished running, feeling good this round Longed at 63,209, closed at 63,710, 75x leverage, +51.8%. Last night it surged to 63,779, I exited at 63,710, just 69 points short, perfectly timed the top to run. Pretty lucky, but not all luck. --- Why did I exit timely? Three signals alerted me: ① Bitcoin short-term holders sold off 32,000 coins in a single day, hitting a one-month high. Retail investors are cutting losses, short-term chip turnover is intense. Every time this data comes out, the short-term top is usually near. ② #美伊重回谈判桌，油价回吐 Oil prices dropped, easing inflation pressure. Sounds good, right? But the market has already priced in rate cuts, so there’s no new story to tell. ③ #美日确认联合购汇 The expectation of a weaker dollar is hedged, signaling tightening liquidity. Big money will pull back short-term after hearing this. So is this the top or a new starting point? A few judgments: · The positives remain, but short-term sentiment has peaked. Last night’s surge to 63,779 just touched MA120 (63,652) nearby, short-term moving averages are all tangled, direction not yet decided. · If it holds the 62,500-62,800 support zone, that confirms a new starting point’s pullback, then we can buy back in. · If it breaks below 62,000, this rally is over, time to rest. I personally lean toward the former—pull back a bit, then move up. Institutions are still buying (BlackRock added another 197 million), fundamentals haven’t worsened, just a short-term breather after a big run. What’s next? Stay out, no rush to enter. Watch if 62,500-62,800 can hold, then buy on low volume. Stop loss at 62,000, target first at 64,500-65,000. Why rush? Money’s in hand, opportunities abound. Swallow the meat already in your mouth first. $BTC